Trusting the new coalition

The largest group in the newly-elected Highland Council is the Independent group, with the SNP overtaking the Lib Dems for second place in spite of two prominent SNP candidates failing to be re-elected.

The Independent councillors increased by one to 36 and were expected to retain control of the new administration in coalition with Labour.  However, when it emerged that the SNP would be sidelined by this arrangement, a coalition of the smaller parties emerged instead.

The public has elected Independent members to resist the political party machine in local councils, but this new coalition will circumvent this.  The SNP had complained about being excluded by the Independents from the administration, although they were the largest party, but this seems rather hollow when they seem happy to be part of an alliance from which the largest grouping is being excluded.

This will be the first experience of a full party-political coalition in control of the Highlands.  It will be headed by SNP group leader Drew Hendry, with Lib Dem leader David Alston as the new depute leader and Labour’s Jimmy Gray as the next council convener.  The previous administration consisted of an Independent-Lib Dem-Labour alliance.  The coalition will be ratified when the full council meets for the first time on 17th May.

Planning decisions
This power struggle among elected councillors is not the only power struggle in the Highlands.  There is also a struggle between national politics, council officials, councillors and the public represented by their community councils.  This is illustrated by planning decisions.  At the strategic level of planning for Inverness and its environs, there is a distinct impression among community councils that the views of the public are being over-ridden by officials, elected councillors, developers and national politics.  This is possibly why so many Independents continue to be re-elected - but will the public have their say?

The most manifest example of the conflict between officialdom and the public is the choice for crossing the river Ness and the Caledonian Canal.  Another example is, in spite of the claims of co-operation, the conflicting views about the management of traffic by Transport Scotland, the Highland Council, HIE and the community councils in the developing Beechwood campus and environs.  The Inner Moray Firth Local Development Plan is an opportunity to have a city-wide strategic vision for the development of the city of Inverness, but Transport Scotland seems ready and willing to do its own thing irrespective of the wishes of the public, and Highland Council seems willing to play second fiddle to Transport Scotland.

The problems with planning decisions in and around Inverness are both national and local.  The planning procedures favour national politics rather than local opinion, which was highlighted at a recent meeting of the Association of Scottish Community Councils.  There are national planning policies, which Independents cannot influence, that favour development over local objections, such as the wind farm debate.  Locally, there are problems with officials and developers having more effective authority and expertise than elected Independent councillors, with which party machines are better able to cope.

Trust
At the bottom of this is trust – whom do the public trust most to develop the city and the Highlands with vision rather than vested interests?  The public have elected Independents in an attempt to have the local voice heard above or at least along with these other vested interests, and the new administration needs to recognise this.

The SNP claim to have a higher interest in Scotland than the other parties, and this should now manifest itself in listening to the wishes of the local people in Highland.  Drew Henry, as the leader of the SNP opposition in the last Council, expressed dissatisfaction with the option chosen over the river Ness.  Now that the SNP hope to form the main part of the administration, we hope that the SNP will seize the opportunity to re-open the decision about the river Ness and Caledonian Canal crossing.  If Aberdeen City Council can re-open and reverse an issue ‘decided’ by referendum, then Highland Council can re-open this decision.  After thirty years of agonising about the route for this crossing (because there was no money), this was used as an argument to hasten a decision which was made within about thirty days.  Thirty weeks or months would have been more appropriate in view of the number of options.  The public did not trust the process which was seen to be taken behind closed doors only months before the local council election when prominent decision-makers were not standing for re-election.

The public voted overwhelmingly in a poll in The Inverness Courier against the route chosen by this cabal.  This undermines trust in the process.  There is the perception that local planning decisions are really a developer’s charter rather than reflecting the wishes of the public.  This also undermines trust.

The original five choices of crossing were increased to eight after public consultation, undermining trust in the capacity of officials to consult properly in the first place.  The consultation process is generally now deeply distrusted by community councils, as discussed in a recent meeting of the Association of Scottish Community Councils.

As decision time approached and minds were concentrated on the problem, four new proposals emerged - a medium-height bridge proposed by John West, who stood for the council on ‘the crossing ticket’, and who secured about as many first four preference votes as the elected councillors; a ‘cut and fill’ tunnel under the river and canal proposed and illustrated by local businessman Brian MacGregor; a low level bridge further south proposed by Inverness Civic Trust; and the beginning of a ring road solution round the north and west of the city which is still at the drawing board stage.  It has emerged that officials had not considered the ‘cut and fill’ tunnel option and had supplied details for a boring operation with larger costs and technical difficulties, and there have been claims that the high-level bridge chosen by over 80% in the poll was deliberately inflated to price it out of the competition, and that Option 6 which was finally chosen had its price artificially reduced by excluding the extra associated costs of relocating affected premises.  There is sufficient reason to think that the final decision has been made on misleading costings and information.  This also undermines trust.

In the medical world, there is an adage that if there are many tablets for a disease, then none of them work - because the one that works would drive the others out of the market.  We now have 12 options for crossing the canal and river Ness, four of which have not been seriously considered - but the decision has been made.

The Highland public put its trust in the Independent group to deliver for the Highlands.  The Independent group needs to consider that this fiasco arose on its watch.  It is time for the new Council with a new administration to take control of this process, to reconsider, re-open and re-evaluate the solution before the tendering process goes too far, too quickly.

Whom can we trust?  This is one of the main messages of the Scottish Christian Party.  The public has put its trust in the Independents - is it well-placed?  Time will tell.  However this is not good enough.  We need better principles for trust than mere hind-sight.  We need trustworthy dealing by trustworthy people with trustworthy procedures.  There is large scope for this failing.  The public feel that it is playing catch-up with powerful, paid personnel, who are not listening to its wishes.

Some of these Independents are Christians.  Will they fall foul of the same party machine as Christians in other parties?  Will they be allowed to speak with a distinctly Christian voice or will this be curtailed in the interests of the Independent grouping/party?  Do these Christians want to speak with a distinctly Christian voice?  This is why the Scottish Christian Party exists - to bring Christian principles back into public life and public policy.

New Lib Dem defection in Highland Council

Only days after being elected, a veteran Lib Dem councillor has defected from her party to join the Independent grouping who are trying to form the next administration in Highland Council.

The 80 member council has returned 36 Independents, 22 SNP, 14 Lib Dem and 8 Labour councillors, resulting in no overall majority for any grouping.  It is suggested that the Independents will ally with Labour in order to squeeze out the SNP.  The SNP had formed part of the administration at the beginning of the previous council, but withdrew from it in 2008 so that it was run latterly by an Independent/Lib Dem/Labour coalition.

Biz Campbell stood as a Lib Dem for the local council election last Thursday and was elected, but she has now joined the Independent councillors.  This will put a squeeze upon Lib Dem influence in the Council, and it is possible that the Lib Dems are now viewed as damaged goods which can only tarnish one’s image.  There was also displeasure expressed at some Lib Dems who tried to take the credit for collective results.

There were 22 Lib Dem councillors in the last Highland Council, but there were two defections during the last session.  20 candidates stood for the council this time, including Biz Campbell in Ward 6 - Wester Ross, Strathpeffer and Lochalsh.  She obtained the most votes in her ward, in which two other Independents were elected.  Now she has joined the Independent group.

This follows the melt-down of the Lib Dem support in the 2011 Holyrood Election, voters’ punishing them for breaking their pledge to University students and for aligning themselves with the Tories.  This was followed by a second melt-down in the Council elections in Scotland and England last Thursday.  Only Inverness South Ward bucked the trend by electing two Lib Dem councillors.

Lady Russell Johnston resigned from the Lib Dems in March 2012 over the Lib Dem policy to redefine marriage.

Two prominent SNP members failed to be re-elected.  Former Inverness provost Bob Wynd lost his seat in the Culloden and Ardersier ward, the SNP voters preferring to re-elect Glynis Sinclair as their SNP choice and Lib Dem Kate Stephen for the first time.  Glynis Sinclair had joined the SNP after leaving the Lib Dems in the previous term.  In the Inverness Ward, Pauline Munro lost out to fellow SNP member Allan Dufffy and became a casualty of the SNP’s ambitious plan to field two candidates in some wards.

Related Stories

SCP Highlands and Islands local council results

The Scottish Christian Party results for The Highland Council and the Shetland Isles Council are analysed below.

Published results in newspapers often show the vote of each candidate at the stage at which they were knocked out of the contest.  So if a person is eliminated in the first stage, there is no opportunity for them to pick up second and third votes transferred from other unsuccessful candidates.  If a person survives a few stages, they have picked up second and third preference votes and it is this final figure which is published.  Therefore these published results are not comparing like with like.

It is more meaningful for those interested in the SCP performance to look at the fuller picture.  These results are available for download here.

Candidate Ward Number of candidates Total valid votes cast Target to elect Preference Votes % 1st Total of 1 to 4 % 1 to 4
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Hector Maclennan NW & Central Sutherland 9 2387 451 127 117 120 44 5.32 408 17.09
David Forbes Dingwall & Seaforth 10 3566 270 90 88 104 74 2.52 356 9.98
Paul Horwood Black Isle 10 4221 610 57 40 44 38 1.35 179 4.24
Susan Wallace Caol & Mallaig 8 2774 506 45 55 71 52 1.62 223 8.04
Alan Petitt Inverness West 8 2472 458 56 71 107 33 2.27 267 10.8
Richard Omand Inverness Central 7 3289 378 75 93 148 101 2.28 417 12.68
Alasdair Moodie Inverness Ness-side 7 3701 621 116 135 140 100 3.13 491 13.27
Clark Walls Raigmore 6 2518 200 91 116 116 49 3.61 372 14.77
Donald Boyd Inverness South 8 3421 335 160 116 145 102 4.68 523 15.29
Peter Jamieson Shetland Central 6 1028 143 48 42 40 50 4.67 180 17.51
Andrew Shearer Shetland South 4 1508 337 68 95 170 206 4.51 539 35.74

Typically there were 6-10 candidates in each ward, so that the first four votes can be considered to be votes in favour of our candidates, and lower votes may be considered to be protest votes against us, although some of these may still be supporting votes.

When we calculate the total of the first four preference votes for each candidate, we see that on average the first preference vote amounts to about 30% of these total votes.  This means that there is scope for persuading the other 70% of our supporters to give their first vote to the SCP rather than their second, third or fourth vote, which did not benefit us.

The largest percentage of first preference votes was 5.32% of the total votes cast.  When we remember that the recent Inverness by-election was won by the Lib Dem candidate with 7.7% of first preference votes, we encourage our supporters to analyse the results to see how they can cast their votes more effectively.  In Shetland South, 35% of voters gave the SCP candidate either their 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th vote.  The Shetland Central candidate got 17.5%; the North, West and Central Sutherland candidate got 17% and Inverness South 15%.  The four other Inverness wards each got more than 10% of voter support.  These figures could be more than enough to elect an SCP councillor if they were first preference votes.

Target to elect
The importance of this column is that it gives you the number of first preference votes of the candidate who just managed to be elected.  The SCP need to hit this target with first preference votes, and some are attainable.

For example, the Lib Dem councillor elected in the Inverness Raigmore ward received 200 first preference votes and was elected by transfer of lower preference votes.  The SCP candidate received 91 first preference votes, but 372 of 1st to 4th preference votes, which could have been more effectively cast for the SCP.  The Lib Dem collapse throughout the UK was reflected in the Highlands where they returned 15 councillors, down from 22.  However in the Inverness South ward, where the leader of the Scottish Christian Party stood, a second Lib Dem councillor scraped in by the skin of his teeth, bucking the national trend.  This ward was fought furiously with two sitting Lib Dem councillors and two new SNP candidates like ferrets in a sack, with posters everywhere but Danny Alexander, the local Lib Dem MP, out of sight.  The Lib Dems have a fight on their hands because of their Westminster coalition with the Tories, their betrayal of their pledge to University students, recent councillor defections and the recent resignation from the Lib Dem party of the widow of former leader Sir Russell Johnston.

The composition of the new Highland Council is Independents 35 seats; SNP 22, Liberal Democrats 15 and Labour 8. The electoral turn out was 41%, with a 66% return of postal votes.

Related Stories